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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Stenungsund vs IFK Skovde 100,000 times. IFK Skovde won 46,671 of them (46.7%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and Stenungsund won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest IFK Skovde win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had IFK Skovde winning 46.7% and gave this exact score 4%.
| Stenungsund win | 30.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| IFK Skovde win | 46.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.31 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.3% |
| Stenungsund score first | 43.7% |
| IFK Skovde score first | 51.8% |
| Stenungsund clean sheet | 18.9% |
| IFK Skovde clean sheet | 27.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420537245 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
IFK Skovde are favourites. They win 46.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 30.7% for Stenungsund. Including the draw, IFK Skovde avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (9%). The likeliest IFK Skovde win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Stenungsund keep a clean sheet 18.9% of the time and IFK Skovde 27.2%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.31 for Stenungsund and 1.68 for IFK Skovde. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.4% and over 3.5 goals 35.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.