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Ettan: North · 100,000 simulations

Stocksund vs Umeå prediction

We simulated Stocksund vs Umeå 100,000 times. Umeå won 43,738 of them (43.7%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Stocksund won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.3%, while the likeliest Umeå win is 1-2 (8.1%). Both teams score in 71.7% of simulations.

Stocksund badge
Stocksund Danderyd Arena
0–3 Full time
Umeå badge
Umeå Away
32.9% 32,938 wins
23.3% Draw
43.7% 43,738 wins
Expected goals
1.73 – 2.01
Likeliest score
1-1 9.3% Top Umeå win: 1-2 8.1%
Both score
71.7%
Over 2.5
71.8%

Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Umeå winning 43.7% and gave this exact score 3.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Hanna Laajanen Danderyd Arena, Danderyd
Stocksund vs Umeå live score, stats & lineups

Stocksund vs Umeå in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ettan: North · Sunday 20 September, 14:00

Stocksund vs Umeå simulation probabilities
Stocksund win32.9%
Draw23.3%
Umeå win43.7%
Most likely score1-1 (9.3%)
Expected goals1.73 – 2.01
Both teams to score71.7%
Over 1.5 goals89.5%
Over 2.5 goals71.8%
Over 3.5 goals51.3%
Stocksund score first42.3%
Umeå score first53.9%
Stocksund clean sheet13.8%
Umeå clean sheet18.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420542335
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Stocksund vs Umeå prediction FAQs

Who will win Stocksund vs Umeå?

Umeå are favourites. They win 43.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 32.9% for Stocksund. Including the draw, Umeå avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Stocksund vs Umeå?

1-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Umeå win is 1-2 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Stocksund vs Umeå?

Both teams score in 71.7% of simulations. Stocksund keep a clean sheet 13.8% of the time and Umeå 18.1%.

How many goals will there be in Stocksund vs Umeå?

The simulations average 3.75 goals: 1.73 for Stocksund and 2.01 for Umeå. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.8% and over 3.5 goals 51.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.