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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Strømsgodset vs Moss 100,000 times. Strømsgodset won 80,158 of them (80.2%), the draw came up 11.3% of the time and Moss won 8.5%. The most likely score is 3-0 (8.1%), and both teams score in 59.7% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Strømsgodset winning 80.2% and gave this exact score 8.1%.
| Strømsgodset win | 80.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.3% |
| Moss win | 8.5% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (8.1%) |
| Expected goals | 3.22 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 60.3% |
| Strømsgodset score first | 75.6% |
| Moss score first | 23.1% |
| Strømsgodset clean sheet | 37.4% |
| Moss clean sheet | 4.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420545522 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Strømsgodset are favourites. They win 80.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.3% for the draw and 8.5% for Moss. Including the draw, Strømsgodset avoid defeat 91.5% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 8.1% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations. Strømsgodset keep a clean sheet 37.4% of the time and Moss 4.3%.
The simulations average 4.21 goals: 3.22 for Strømsgodset and 0.99 for Moss. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.6% and over 3.5 goals 60.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.