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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sturm Graz W vs Wolfsburg W 100,000 times. Wolfsburg W won 86,683 of them (86.7%), the draw came up 8.8% of the time and Sturm Graz W won 4.5%. The most likely score is 0-3 (11.5%), and both teams score in 44.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Wolfsburg W winning 86.7% and gave this exact score 10.8%.
| Sturm Graz W win | 4.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 8.8% |
| Wolfsburg W win | 86.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.64 – 3.27 |
| Both teams to score | 44.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 54.4% |
| Sturm Graz W score first | 13.2% |
| Wolfsburg W score first | 84.9% |
| Sturm Graz W clean sheet | 4.1% |
| Wolfsburg W clean sheet | 53.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710149 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wolfsburg W are favourites. They win 86.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.8% for the draw and 4.5% for Sturm Graz W. Including the draw, Wolfsburg W avoid defeat 95.5% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (10.8%) and 0-4 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.8% of simulations. Sturm Graz W keep a clean sheet 4.1% of the time and Wolfsburg W 53.1%.
The simulations average 3.91 goals: 0.64 for Sturm Graz W and 3.27 for Wolfsburg W. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.2% and over 3.5 goals 54.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.