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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Subiza vs Txantrea 100,000 times. Subiza won 60,391 of them (60.4%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and Txantrea won 17.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest Subiza win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Subiza win | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| Txantrea win | 17.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.06 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| Subiza score first | 64.1% |
| Txantrea score first | 30.3% |
| Subiza clean sheet | 36.4% |
| Txantrea clean sheet | 13.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420700472 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Subiza are favourites. They win 60.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 17.4% for Txantrea. Including the draw, Subiza avoid defeat 82.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Subiza win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Subiza keep a clean sheet 36.4% of the time and Txantrea 13.1%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 2.06 for Subiza and 1.02 for Txantrea. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.2% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.