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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sūduva vs Kauno Žalgiris 100,000 times. Kauno Žalgiris won 44,202 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Sūduva won 27.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Kauno Žalgiris win is 0-1 (11.1%). Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Kauno Žalgiris winning 44.2% and gave this exact score 11.1%.
| Sūduva win | 27.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 44.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.07 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.1% |
| Sūduva score first | 37.6% |
| Kauno Žalgiris score first | 53.1% |
| Sūduva clean sheet | 24.6% |
| Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet | 34.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420566148 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kauno Žalgiris are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 27.9% for Sūduva. Including the draw, Kauno Žalgiris avoid defeat 72.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Kauno Žalgiris win is 0-1 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Sūduva keep a clean sheet 24.6% of the time and Kauno Žalgiris 34.6%.
The simulations average 2.49 goals: 1.07 for Sūduva and 1.42 for Kauno Žalgiris. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.2% and over 3.5 goals 24.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.