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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II 100,000 times. Tacoma Defiance won 40,396 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Portland Timbers II won 34.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Tacoma Defiance win is 2-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 63.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.3% and gave this exact score 11.4%.
| Tacoma Defiance win | 40.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Portland Timbers II win | 34.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 1.51 |
| Both teams to score | 63.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.9% |
| Tacoma Defiance score first | 54.2% |
| Portland Timbers II score first | 40.3% |
| Tacoma Defiance clean sheet | 22.5% |
| Portland Timbers II clean sheet | 19.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420513873 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tacoma Defiance are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 34.3% for Portland Timbers II. Including the draw, Tacoma Defiance avoid defeat 65.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Tacoma Defiance win is 2-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.4% of simulations. Tacoma Defiance keep a clean sheet 22.5% of the time and Portland Timbers II 19.5%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 1.65 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.51 for Portland Timbers II. Over 1.5 goals lands 83% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61% and over 3.5 goals 38.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.