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FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town prediction

We simulated Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town 100,000 times. Aldershot Town won 60,416 of them (60.4%), the draw came up 19.6% of the time and Tadley Calleva won 20%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.7%), and both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.

Tadley Calleva badge
Tadley Calleva Home
0–2 Full time
Aldershot Town badge
Aldershot Town Away
20% 19,983 wins
19.6% Draw
60.4% 60,416 wins
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.10
Likeliest score
1-2 9.7%
Both score
57.5%
Over 2.5
61.6%

Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Aldershot Town winning 60.4% and gave this exact score 8.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Paul Johnson
Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town live score, stats & lineups

Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Tuesday 20 October, 19:45

Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town simulation probabilities
Tadley Calleva win20%
Draw19.6%
Aldershot Town win60.4%
Most likely score1-2 (9.7%)
Expected goals1.10 – 2.10
Both teams to score57.5%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61.6%
Over 3.5 goals39.7%
Tadley Calleva score first26.3%
Aldershot Town score first69.9%
Tadley Calleva clean sheet12.7%
Aldershot Town clean sheet33.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420737522
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town prediction FAQs

Who will win Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town?

Aldershot Town are favourites. They win 60.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.6% for the draw and 20% for Tadley Calleva. Including the draw, Aldershot Town avoid defeat 80% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town?

1-2, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town?

Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Tadley Calleva keep a clean sheet 12.7% of the time and Aldershot Town 33.5%.

How many goals will there be in Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town?

The simulations average 3.20 goals: 1.10 for Tadley Calleva and 2.10 for Aldershot Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.6% and over 3.5 goals 39.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.