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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated TAFIC vs Police XI 100,000 times. TAFIC won 36,462 of them (36.5%), the draw came up 33.2% of the time and Police XI won 30.4%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 15.3%, while the likeliest TAFIC win is 1-0 (13.5%). Both teams score in 39.7% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 33.2% and gave this exact score 14.3%.
| TAFIC win | 36.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 33.2% |
| Police XI win | 30.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (15.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 39.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 13.8% |
| TAFIC score first | 46.6% |
| Police XI score first | 38.6% |
| TAFIC clean sheet | 40% |
| Police XI clean sheet | 35.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420677846 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
TAFIC are favourites. They win 36.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.2% for the draw and 30.4% for Police XI. Including the draw, TAFIC avoid defeat 69.6% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 15.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (14.3%) and 1-0 (13.5%). The likeliest TAFIC win is 1-0 (13.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 39.7% of simulations. TAFIC keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Police XI 35.6%.
The simulations average 1.96 goals: 1.04 for TAFIC and 0.92 for Police XI. Over 1.5 goals lands 59.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 31.4% and over 3.5 goals 13.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.