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USL League One Cup · 100,000 simulations

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise prediction

We simulated Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise 100,000 times. Tampa Bay Rowdies won 69,083 of them (69.1%), the draw came up 18.3% of the time and Sarasota Paradise won 12.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.6%), and both teams score in 49.9% of simulations.

Tampa Bay Rowdies badge
Tampa Bay Rowdies Al Lang Stadium
2–0 Full time
Sarasota Paradise badge
Sarasota Paradise Away
69.1% 69,083 wins
18.3% Draw
12.6% 12,628 wins
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.83
Likeliest score
2-0 11.6%
Both score
49.9%
Over 2.5
58.9%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Tampa Bay Rowdies winning 69.1% and gave this exact score 11.6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise live score, stats & lineups

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise in numbers 100,000 simulations · USL League One Cup · Sunday 26 April, 00:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise simulation probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies win69.1%
Draw18.3%
Sarasota Paradise win12.6%
Most likely score2-0 (11.6%)
Expected goals2.24 – 0.83
Both teams to score49.9%
Over 1.5 goals80.7%
Over 2.5 goals58.9%
Over 3.5 goals36.8%
Tampa Bay Rowdies score first69.2%
Sarasota Paradise score first25.8%
Tampa Bay Rowdies clean sheet43.9%
Sarasota Paradise clean sheet11%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420536116
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise prediction FAQs

Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise?

Tampa Bay Rowdies are favourites. They win 69.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.3% for the draw and 12.6% for Sarasota Paradise. Including the draw, Tampa Bay Rowdies avoid defeat 87.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise?

2-0, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise?

Both teams score in 49.9% of simulations. Tampa Bay Rowdies keep a clean sheet 43.9% of the time and Sarasota Paradise 11%.

How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise?

The simulations average 3.07 goals: 2.24 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.83 for Sarasota Paradise. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.9% and over 3.5 goals 36.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.