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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tampa Bay Sun W vs Carolina Ascent W 100,000 times. Carolina Ascent W won 45,220 of them (45.2%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and Tampa Bay Sun W won 25.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Carolina Ascent W win is 0-1 (11.3%). Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Carolina Ascent W winning 45.2% and gave this exact score 4.2%.
| Tampa Bay Sun W win | 25.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.9% |
| Carolina Ascent W win | 45.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.02 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Tampa Bay Sun W score first | 37.4% |
| Carolina Ascent W score first | 52.5% |
| Tampa Bay Sun W clean sheet | 24.5% |
| Carolina Ascent W clean sheet | 36.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654744 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Carolina Ascent W are favourites. They win 45.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 25.9% for Tampa Bay Sun W. Including the draw, Carolina Ascent W avoid defeat 74.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.3%) and 0-0 (10.1%). The likeliest Carolina Ascent W win is 0-1 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49% of simulations. Tampa Bay Sun W keep a clean sheet 24.5% of the time and Carolina Ascent W 36.5%.
The simulations average 2.44 goals: 1.02 for Tampa Bay Sun W and 1.42 for Carolina Ascent W. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.9% and over 3.5 goals 23%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.