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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Thimphu City vs Paro FC 100,000 times. Paro FC won 65,247 of them (65.3%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Thimphu City won 16.4%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.8%), and both teams score in 66.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Paro FC winning 65.3% and gave this exact score 7.2%.
| Thimphu City win | 16.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Paro FC win | 65.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 2.59 |
| Both teams to score | 66.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.4% |
| Thimphu City score first | 30.2% |
| Paro FC score first | 67% |
| Thimphu City clean sheet | 7.9% |
| Paro FC clean sheet | 28.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710774 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paro FC are favourites. They win 65.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 16.4% for Thimphu City. Including the draw, Paro FC avoid defeat 83.6% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.6%) and 1-1 (7.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.1% of simulations. Thimphu City keep a clean sheet 7.9% of the time and Paro FC 28.9%.
The simulations average 3.85 goals: 1.26 for Thimphu City and 2.59 for Paro FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.4% and over 3.5 goals 53.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.