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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. 100,000 times. Vélez Sársfield Res. won 59,502 of them (59.5%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Tigre Res. won 16.2%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15%), and both teams score in 41.8% of simulations.
| Tigre Res. win | 16.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. win | 59.5% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (15%) |
| Expected goals | 0.73 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 41.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.3% |
| Tigre Res. score first | 28.4% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. score first | 62.5% |
| Tigre Res. clean sheet | 19.3% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. clean sheet | 48.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728418 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vélez Sársfield Res. are favourites. They win 59.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 16.2% for Tigre Res.. Including the draw, Vélez Sársfield Res. avoid defeat 83.8% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 15% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-1 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.8% of simulations. Tigre Res. keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and Vélez Sársfield Res. 48.3%.
The simulations average 2.40 goals: 0.73 for Tigre Res. and 1.67 for Vélez Sársfield Res.. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.9% and over 3.5 goals 22.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.