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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tlaxcala vs Cancún 100,000 times. Tlaxcala won 43,759 of them (43.8%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Cancún won 32.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Tlaxcala win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 58.8% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Tlaxcala winning 43.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Tlaxcala win | 43.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Cancún win | 32.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 58.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% |
| Tlaxcala score first | 51.6% |
| Cancún score first | 43.4% |
| Tlaxcala clean sheet | 26.1% |
| Cancún clean sheet | 20.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586998 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tlaxcala are favourites. They win 43.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 32.4% for Cancún. Including the draw, Tlaxcala avoid defeat 67.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Tlaxcala win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.8% of simulations. Tlaxcala keep a clean sheet 26.1% of the time and Cancún 20.2%.
The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.62 for Tlaxcala and 1.36 for Cancún. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.8% and over 3.5 goals 34.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.