Join The Team!
A signing like no other...
We simulated Toluca vs Santos Laguna 100,000 times. Toluca won 79,056 of them (79.1%), the draw came up 13.1% of the time and Santos Laguna won 7.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.6%), and both teams score in 51.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Santos Laguna winning 7.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Toluca win | 79.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.1% |
| Santos Laguna win | 7.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.85 – 0.79 |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| Toluca score first | 78.8% |
| Santos Laguna score first | 18.4% |
| Toluca clean sheet | 45.5% |
| Santos Laguna clean sheet | 6.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420578856 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Toluca are favourites. They win 79.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.1% for the draw and 7.8% for Santos Laguna. Including the draw, Toluca avoid defeat 92.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations. Toluca keep a clean sheet 45.5% of the time and Santos Laguna 6.2%.
The simulations average 3.64 goals: 2.85 for Toluca and 0.79 for Santos Laguna. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.9% and over 3.5 goals 49%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.