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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W 100,000 times. Toluca W won 75,083 of them (75.1%), the draw came up 13.7% of the time and Santos Laguna W won 11.2%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.5%), and both teams score in 59.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 13.7%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Toluca W win | 75.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.7% |
| Santos Laguna W win | 11.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.86 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.8% |
| Toluca W score first | 73.8% |
| Santos Laguna W score first | 24.3% |
| Toluca W clean sheet | 36.5% |
| Santos Laguna W clean sheet | 6.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599535 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Toluca W are favourites. They win 75.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.7% for the draw and 11.2% for Santos Laguna W. Including the draw, Toluca W avoid defeat 88.8% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations. Toluca W keep a clean sheet 36.5% of the time and Santos Laguna W 6.1%.
The simulations average 3.87 goals: 2.86 for Toluca W and 1.02 for Santos Laguna W. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.7% and over 3.5 goals 53.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.