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We simulated Torreense vs União de Leiria 100,000 times. Torreense won 46,800 of them (46.8%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and União de Leiria won 27.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Torreense win is 1-0 (9.2%). Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had União de Leiria winning 27.9% and gave this exact score 2.2%.
| Torreense win | 46.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| União de Leiria win | 27.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% |
| Torreense score first | 54.4% |
| União de Leiria score first | 39.1% |
| Torreense clean sheet | 30.4% |
| União de Leiria clean sheet | 20% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420615560 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Torreense are favourites. They win 46.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 27.9% for União de Leiria. Including the draw, Torreense avoid defeat 72.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Torreense win is 1-0 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Torreense keep a clean sheet 30.4% of the time and União de Leiria 20%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.63 for Torreense and 1.20 for União de Leiria. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.6% and over 3.5 goals 31.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.