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Ykkönen Women · 100,000 simulations

TPS W vs KTP W prediction

We simulated TPS W vs KTP W 100,000 times. TPS W won 57,530 of them (57.5%), the draw came up 21.1% of the time and KTP W won 21.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 66% of simulations.

TPS W badge
TPS W Home
3–3 Full time
KTP W badge
KTP W Away
57.5% 57,530 wins
21.1% Draw
21.4% 21,371 wins
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.33
Likeliest score
2-1 9.2%
Both score
66%
Over 2.5
69.2%

Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 21.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated
TPS W vs KTP W live score, stats & lineups

TPS W vs KTP W in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ykkönen Women · Saturday 17 October, 11:00

TPS W vs KTP W simulation probabilities
TPS W win57.5%
Draw21.1%
KTP W win21.4%
Most likely score2-1 (9.2%)
Expected goals2.26 – 1.33
Both teams to score66%
Over 1.5 goals87.6%
Over 2.5 goals69.2%
Over 3.5 goals48.1%
TPS W score first61.6%
KTP W score first34.8%
TPS W clean sheet26.8%
KTP W clean sheet10.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420628336
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

TPS W vs KTP W prediction FAQs

Who will win TPS W vs KTP W?

TPS W are favourites. They win 57.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.1% for the draw and 21.4% for KTP W. Including the draw, TPS W avoid defeat 78.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in TPS W vs KTP W?

2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in TPS W vs KTP W?

Both teams score in 66% of simulations. TPS W keep a clean sheet 26.8% of the time and KTP W 10.8%.

How many goals will there be in TPS W vs KTP W?

The simulations average 3.59 goals: 2.26 for TPS W and 1.33 for KTP W. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.2% and over 3.5 goals 48.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.