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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Triglav vs Nafta 100,000 times. Nafta won 40,378 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Triglav won 35.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Nafta win is 0-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.8% and gave this exact score 11.1%.
| Triglav win | 35.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Nafta win | 40.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Triglav score first | 46.8% |
| Nafta score first | 47.5% |
| Triglav clean sheet | 23.5% |
| Nafta clean sheet | 26% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725359 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nafta are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 35.8% for Triglav. Including the draw, Nafta avoid defeat 64.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Nafta win is 0-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Triglav keep a clean sheet 23.5% of the time and Nafta 26%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.36 for Triglav and 1.46 for Nafta. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.5% and over 3.5 goals 31.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.