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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tristán Suárez vs Atlanta 100,000 times. Tristán Suárez won 51,267 of them (51.3%), the draw came up 30.7% of the time and Atlanta won 18%. The most likely score is 1-0 (19.3%), and both teams score in 32.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 30.7% and gave this exact score 16.4%.
| Tristán Suárez win | 51.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.7% |
| Atlanta win | 18% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (19.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 0.60 |
| Both teams to score | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.6% |
| Tristán Suárez score first | 58.1% |
| Atlanta score first | 25.5% |
| Tristán Suárez clean sheet | 54.9% |
| Atlanta clean sheet | 29.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503242 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tristán Suárez are favourites. They win 51.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.7% for the draw and 18% for Atlanta. Including the draw, Tristán Suárez avoid defeat 82% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 19.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (16.4%) and 2-0 (12%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 32.1% of simulations. Tristán Suárez keep a clean sheet 54.9% of the time and Atlanta 29.5%.
The simulations average 1.84 goals: 1.23 for Tristán Suárez and 0.60 for Atlanta. Over 1.5 goals lands 54.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 28% and over 3.5 goals 11.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.