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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tristán Suárez vs Patronato 100,000 times. Tristán Suárez won 52,305 of them (52.3%), the draw came up 32.9% of the time and Patronato won 14.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (19.1%), and both teams score in 31.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Tristán Suárez winning 52.3% and gave this exact score 19.1%.
| Tristán Suárez win | 52.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.9% |
| Patronato win | 14.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (19.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 0.55 |
| Both teams to score | 31.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.1% |
| Tristán Suárez score first | 56.4% |
| Patronato score first | 25.5% |
| Tristán Suárez clean sheet | 58% |
| Patronato clean sheet | 28.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503377 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tristán Suárez are favourites. They win 52.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.9% for the draw and 14.8% for Patronato. Including the draw, Tristán Suárez avoid defeat 85.2% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 19.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (18.2%) and 2-0 (12.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 31.4% of simulations. Tristán Suárez keep a clean sheet 58% of the time and Patronato 28.8%.
The simulations average 1.80 goals: 1.26 for Tristán Suárez and 0.55 for Patronato. Over 1.5 goals lands 55.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 27.1% and over 3.5 goals 11.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.