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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Trival Valderas vs Leganés 100,000 times. Leganés won 87,409 of them (87.4%), the draw came up 9.1% of the time and Trival Valderas won 3.5%. The most likely score is 0-2 (14.9%), and both teams score in 32.1% of simulations.
| Trival Valderas win | 3.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 9.1% |
| Leganés win | 87.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (14.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.42 – 2.94 |
| Both teams to score | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.2% |
| Trival Valderas score first | 11.9% |
| Leganés score first | 84.7% |
| Trival Valderas clean sheet | 5.6% |
| Leganés clean sheet | 65.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731345 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Leganés are favourites. They win 87.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.1% for the draw and 3.5% for Trival Valderas. Including the draw, Leganés avoid defeat 96.5% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (14.4%) and 0-1 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 32.1% of simulations. Trival Valderas keep a clean sheet 5.6% of the time and Leganés 65.8%.
The simulations average 3.36 goals: 0.42 for Trival Valderas and 2.94 for Leganés. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.8% and over 3.5 goals 43.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.