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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tukums II vs Super Nova II 100,000 times. Tukums II won 50,802 of them (50.8%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Super Nova II won 28.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and both teams score in 65.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Super Nova II winning 28.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Tukums II win | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Super Nova II win | 28.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 1.47 |
| Both teams to score | 65.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.1% |
| Tukums II score first | 54.2% |
| Super Nova II score first | 43% |
| Tukums II clean sheet | 23.4% |
| Super Nova II clean sheet | 13.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420532842 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tukums II are favourites. They win 50.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 28.4% for Super Nova II. Including the draw, Tukums II avoid defeat 71.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (6.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations. Tukums II keep a clean sheet 23.4% of the time and Super Nova II 13.6%.
The simulations average 3.49 goals: 2.03 for Tukums II and 1.47 for Super Nova II. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.4% and over 3.5 goals 46.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.