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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tuloy vs Mendiola 100,000 times. Mendiola won 44,065 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 18.9% of the time and Tuloy won 37.1%. No single score is common: 2-2 is the likeliest at 6.9%, while the likeliest Mendiola win is 1-2 (6.5%). Both teams score in 79.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Mendiola winning 44.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Tuloy win | 37.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.9% |
| Mendiola win | 44.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-2 (6.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.16 – 2.35 |
| Both teams to score | 79.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 65.4% |
| Tuloy score first | 44.8% |
| Mendiola score first | 54.1% |
| Tuloy clean sheet | 10% |
| Mendiola clean sheet | 12% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711964 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mendiola are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.9% for the draw and 37.1% for Tuloy. Including the draw, Mendiola avoid defeat 62.9% of the time.
2-2, which came up in 6.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (6.5%) and 2-1 (6%). The likeliest Mendiola win is 1-2 (6.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 79.1% of simulations. Tuloy keep a clean sheet 10% of the time and Mendiola 12%.
The simulations average 4.51 goals: 2.16 for Tuloy and 2.35 for Mendiola. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 82.2% and over 3.5 goals 65.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.