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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas 100,000 times. Excursionistas won 52,309 of them (52.3%), the draw came up 28.3% of the time and UAI Urquiza won 19.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Excursionistas win is 0-1 (11.9%). Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Excursionistas winning 52.3% and gave this exact score 9.2%.
| UAI Urquiza win | 19.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Excursionistas win | 52.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.88 – 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.7% |
| UAI Urquiza score first | 33.8% |
| Excursionistas score first | 55.8% |
| UAI Urquiza clean sheet | 20.8% |
| Excursionistas clean sheet | 41.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503647 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Excursionistas are favourites. They win 52.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.3% for the draw and 19.4% for UAI Urquiza. Including the draw, Excursionistas avoid defeat 80.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.9%) and 0-2 (10.6%). The likeliest Excursionistas win is 0-1 (11.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. UAI Urquiza keep a clean sheet 20.8% of the time and Excursionistas 41.8%.
The simulations average 2.47 goals: 0.88 for UAI Urquiza and 1.59 for Excursionistas. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.7% and over 3.5 goals 23.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.