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We simulated UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó 100,000 times. UAI Urquiza won 58,329 of them (58.3%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Ituzaingó won 15.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16%), and both teams score in 39.1% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had UAI Urquiza winning 58.3% and gave this exact score 1.5%.
| UAI Urquiza win | 58.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Ituzaingó win | 15.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 0.67 |
| Both teams to score | 39.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.1% |
| UAI Urquiza score first | 61.6% |
| Ituzaingó score first | 27.1% |
| UAI Urquiza clean sheet | 51.5% |
| Ituzaingó clean sheet | 21.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503686 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
UAI Urquiza are favourites. They win 58.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 15.1% for Ituzaingó. Including the draw, UAI Urquiza avoid defeat 84.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 16% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13%) and 1-1 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 39.1% of simulations. UAI Urquiza keep a clean sheet 51.5% of the time and Ituzaingó 21.1%.
The simulations average 2.24 goals: 1.58 for UAI Urquiza and 0.67 for Ituzaingó. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.8% and over 3.5 goals 19.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.