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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ullern vs Grei 100,000 times. Ullern won 55,297 of them (55.3%), the draw came up 19.6% of the time and Grei won 25.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (7%), and both teams score in 78.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Grei winning 25.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Ullern win | 55.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.6% |
| Grei win | 25.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.71 – 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | 78.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 66.3% |
| Ullern score first | 57.9% |
| Grei score first | 39.9% |
| Ullern clean sheet | 16.2% |
| Grei clean sheet | 7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543321 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ullern are favourites. They win 55.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.6% for the draw and 25.1% for Grei. Including the draw, Ullern avoid defeat 74.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 7% of simulations. Next are 2-2 (6.4%) and 3-1 (6.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 78.9% of simulations. Ullern keep a clean sheet 16.2% of the time and Grei 7%.
The simulations average 4.56 goals: 2.71 for Ullern and 1.85 for Grei. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 82.8% and over 3.5 goals 66.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.