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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Umeå vs Assyriska 100,000 times. Umeå won 44,172 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Assyriska won 31.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Umeå win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 61.4% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Umeå winning 44.2% and gave this exact score 5.1%.
| Umeå win | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Assyriska win | 31.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 61.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% |
| Umeå score first | 52.1% |
| Assyriska score first | 42.8% |
| Umeå clean sheet | 25% |
| Assyriska clean sheet | 18.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420542302 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Umeå are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 31.6% for Assyriska. Including the draw, Umeå avoid defeat 68.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Umeå win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.4% of simulations. Umeå keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Assyriska 18.7%.
The simulations average 3.11 goals: 1.70 for Umeå and 1.40 for Assyriska. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.7% and over 3.5 goals 37.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.