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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Umeå vs Hammarby Talang 100,000 times. Hammarby Talang won 47,635 of them (47.6%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Umeå won 27.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Hammarby Talang win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Umeå winning 27.5% and gave this exact score 6.8%.
| Umeå win | 27.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Hammarby Talang win | 47.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Umeå score first | 45.3% |
| Hammarby Talang score first | 48.8% |
| Umeå clean sheet | 17.9% |
| Hammarby Talang clean sheet | 28.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420542265 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hammarby Talang are favourites. They win 47.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 27.5% for Umeå. Including the draw, Hammarby Talang avoid defeat 72.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Hammarby Talang win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations. Umeå keep a clean sheet 17.9% of the time and Hammarby Talang 28.3%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.28 for Umeå and 1.75 for Hammarby Talang. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.