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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí 100,000 times. Real Estelí won 60,591 of them (60.6%), the draw came up 23% of the time and UNAN Managua won 16.4%. The most likely score is 0-1 (12.8%), and both teams score in 46.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had UNAN Managua winning 16.4% and gave this exact score 5.7%.
| UNAN Managua win | 16.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Real Estelí win | 60.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 46.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| UNAN Managua score first | 26.5% |
| Real Estelí score first | 65.8% |
| UNAN Managua clean sheet | 16.6% |
| Real Estelí clean sheet | 44.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420724848 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Estelí are favourites. They win 60.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 16.4% for UNAN Managua. Including the draw, Real Estelí avoid defeat 83.6% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-1 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.8% of simulations. UNAN Managua keep a clean sheet 16.6% of the time and Real Estelí 44.2%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 0.82 for UNAN Managua and 1.82 for Real Estelí. Over 1.5 goals lands 74% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.1% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.