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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Uni Azzurri vs Darwin Olympic 100,000 times. Uni Azzurri won 59,930 of them (59.9%), the draw came up 17.2% of the time and Darwin Olympic won 22.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (6.4%), and both teams score in 79.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Darwin Olympic winning 22.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Uni Azzurri win | 59.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.2% |
| Darwin Olympic win | 22.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (6.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.99 – 1.87 |
| Both teams to score | 79.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 70.9% |
| Uni Azzurri score first | 56.9% |
| Darwin Olympic score first | 41.9% |
| Uni Azzurri clean sheet | 15.9% |
| Darwin Olympic clean sheet | 5.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420722283 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Uni Azzurri are favourites. They win 59.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.2% for the draw and 22.9% for Darwin Olympic. Including the draw, Uni Azzurri avoid defeat 77.1% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 6.4% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (6.3%) and 2-2 (5.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 79.9% of simulations. Uni Azzurri keep a clean sheet 15.9% of the time and Darwin Olympic 5.5%.
The simulations average 4.86 goals: 2.99 for Uni Azzurri and 1.87 for Darwin Olympic. Over 1.5 goals lands 95.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 85.7% and over 3.5 goals 70.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.