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Northern Territory Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces prediction

We simulated Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces 100,000 times. Uni Azzurri won 58,887 of them (58.9%), the draw came up 18.6% of the time and Mindil Aces won 22.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (7.6%), and both teams score in 75.3% of simulations.

Uni Azzurri badge
Uni Azzurri Larrakia Park
2–4 Full time
Mindil Aces badge
Mindil Aces Away
58.9% 58,887 wins
18.6% Draw
22.6% 22,550 wins
Expected goals
2.70 – 1.67
Likeliest score
2-1 7.6%
Both score
75.3%
Over 2.5
80.5%

Full time 2-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Mindil Aces winning 22.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Larrakia Park, Darwin
Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces live score, stats & lineups

Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces in numbers 100,000 simulations · Northern Territory Premier League · Saturday 19 September, 11:30

Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces simulation probabilities
Uni Azzurri win58.9%
Draw18.6%
Mindil Aces win22.6%
Most likely score2-1 (7.6%)
Expected goals2.70 – 1.67
Both teams to score75.3%
Over 1.5 goals93.3%
Over 2.5 goals80.5%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Uni Azzurri score first62.9%
Mindil Aces score first35.3%
Uni Azzurri clean sheet19.4%
Mindil Aces clean sheet7.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420713635
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces prediction FAQs

Who will win Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces?

Uni Azzurri are favourites. They win 58.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.6% for the draw and 22.6% for Mindil Aces. Including the draw, Uni Azzurri avoid defeat 77.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces?

2-1, which came up in 7.6% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (6.7%) and 1-1 (6.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces?

Both teams score in 75.3% of simulations. Uni Azzurri keep a clean sheet 19.4% of the time and Mindil Aces 7.2%.

How many goals will there be in Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces?

The simulations average 4.36 goals: 2.70 for Uni Azzurri and 1.67 for Mindil Aces. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 80.5% and over 3.5 goals 63%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.