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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated União de Leiria vs Bragança 100,000 times. União de Leiria won 78,350 of them (78.4%), the draw came up 14.1% of the time and Bragança won 7.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.1%), and both teams score in 40.5% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had União de Leiria winning 78.4% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| União de Leiria win | 78.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.1% |
| Bragança win | 7.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.47 – 0.60 |
| Both teams to score | 40.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.6% |
| União de Leiria score first | 73.6% |
| Bragança score first | 21.7% |
| União de Leiria clean sheet | 55.2% |
| Bragança clean sheet | 8.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725898 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
União de Leiria are favourites. They win 78.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.1% for the draw and 7.6% for Bragança. Including the draw, União de Leiria avoid defeat 92.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.5% of simulations. União de Leiria keep a clean sheet 55.2% of the time and Bragança 8.9%.
The simulations average 3.06 goals: 2.47 for União de Leiria and 0.60 for Bragança. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.7% and over 3.5 goals 36.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.