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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated União São João vs Grêmio Prudente 100,000 times. União São João won 38,603 of them (38.6%), the draw came up 32.6% of the time and Grêmio Prudente won 28.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.9%, while the likeliest União São João win is 1-0 (11.6%). Both teams score in 45.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had União São João winning 38.6% and gave this exact score 7.8%.
| União São João win | 38.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.6% |
| Grêmio Prudente win | 28.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.19 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 45.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.9% |
| União São João score first | 45.9% |
| Grêmio Prudente score first | 41.1% |
| União São João clean sheet | 37.3% |
| Grêmio Prudente clean sheet | 30.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420724797 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
União São João are favourites. They win 38.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.6% for the draw and 28.8% for Grêmio Prudente. Including the draw, União São João avoid defeat 71.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (11.6%). The likeliest União São João win is 1-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.2% of simulations. União São João keep a clean sheet 37.3% of the time and Grêmio Prudente 30.8%.
The simulations average 2.19 goals: 1.19 for União São João and 0.99 for Grêmio Prudente. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 37.3% and over 3.5 goals 17.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.