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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Barracas Central Res. 100,000 times. Unión Santa Fe Res. won 57,798 of them (57.8%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Barracas Central Res. won 17.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.3%), and both teams score in 45.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25% and gave this exact score 11.6%.
| Unión Santa Fe Res. win | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Barracas Central Res. win | 17.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 45.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.4% |
| Unión Santa Fe Res. score first | 60.3% |
| Barracas Central Res. score first | 30.9% |
| Unión Santa Fe Res. clean sheet | 44.9% |
| Barracas Central Res. clean sheet | 18.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728273 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Unión Santa Fe Res. are favourites. They win 57.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 17.2% for Barracas Central Res.. Including the draw, Unión Santa Fe Res. avoid defeat 82.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.7%) and 1-1 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.3% of simulations. Unión Santa Fe Res. keep a clean sheet 44.9% of the time and Barracas Central Res. 18.7%.
The simulations average 2.50 goals: 1.70 for Unión Santa Fe Res. and 0.81 for Barracas Central Res.. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.5% and over 3.5 goals 24.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.