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Gulf Cup of Nations · 100,000 simulations

United Arab Emirates vs Qatar prediction

We simulated United Arab Emirates vs Qatar 100,000 times. United Arab Emirates won 52,529 of them (52.5%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Qatar won 23.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest United Arab Emirates win is 1-0 (10.1%). Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations.

United Arab Emirates badge
United Arab Emirates Home
1–1 Full time
Qatar badge
Qatar Away
52.5% 52,529 wins
24.3% Draw
23.2% 23,215 wins
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.08
Likeliest score
1-1 11.4% Top UAE win: 1-0 10.1%
Both score
54.3%
Over 2.5
53.4%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24.3% and gave this exact score 11.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jalal Jayed
United Arab Emirates vs Qatar live score, stats & lineups

United Arab Emirates vs Qatar in numbers 100,000 simulations · Gulf Cup of Nations · Wednesday 30 September, 18:30

United Arab Emirates vs Qatar simulation probabilities
United Arab Emirates win52.5%
Draw24.3%
Qatar win23.2%
Most likely score1-1 (11.4%)
Expected goals1.75 – 1.08
Both teams to score54.3%
Over 1.5 goals77.3%
Over 2.5 goals53.4%
Over 3.5 goals31.4%
United Arab Emirates score first57.8%
Qatar score first36.1%
United Arab Emirates clean sheet34.4%
Qatar clean sheet17.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420684366
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

United Arab Emirates vs Qatar prediction FAQs

Who will win United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?

United Arab Emirates are favourites. They win 52.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 23.2% for Qatar. Including the draw, United Arab Emirates avoid defeat 76.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?

1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win is 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?

Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations. United Arab Emirates keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and Qatar 17.9%.

How many goals will there be in United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?

The simulations average 2.82 goals: 1.75 for United Arab Emirates and 1.08 for Qatar. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.4% and over 3.5 goals 31.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.