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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated United States vs Chile 100,000 times. United States won 67,633 of them (67.6%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Chile won 14%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 54.7% of simulations.
Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had United States winning 67.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| United States win | 67.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Chile win | 14% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.32 – 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| United States score first | 69.1% |
| Chile score first | 26.8% |
| United States clean sheet | 39.2% |
| Chile clean sheet | 10.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420603402 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
United States are favourites. They win 67.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 14% for Chile. Including the draw, United States avoid defeat 86% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations. United States keep a clean sheet 39.2% of the time and Chile 10.3%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 2.32 for United States and 0.94 for Chile. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.