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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Universidad Católica vs Universidad Chile 100,000 times. Universidad Chile won 40,239 of them (40.2%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Universidad Católica won 34.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Universidad Chile win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Universidad Católica winning 34.8% and gave this exact score 6.8%.
| Universidad Católica win | 34.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Universidad Chile win | 40.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.4% |
| Universidad Católica score first | 43.3% |
| Universidad Chile score first | 51.1% |
| Universidad Católica clean sheet | 21.3% |
| Universidad Chile clean sheet | 24.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420494976 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Universidad Chile are favourites. They win 40.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 34.8% for Universidad Católica. Including the draw, Universidad Chile avoid defeat 65.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Universidad Chile win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations. Universidad Católica keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and Universidad Chile 24.1%.
The simulations average 3.01 goals: 1.44 for Universidad Católica and 1.57 for Universidad Chile. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.6% and over 3.5 goals 35.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.