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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero 100,000 times. Universitario de Vinto won 58,454 of them (58.5%), the draw came up 21.1% of the time and Independiente Petrolero won 20.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest Universitario de Vinto win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Universitario de Vinto winning 58.5% and gave this exact score 6.6%.
| Universitario de Vinto win | 58.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.1% |
| Independiente Petrolero win | 20.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.5% |
| Universitario de Vinto score first | 62.2% |
| Independiente Petrolero score first | 33.4% |
| Universitario de Vinto clean sheet | 33.2% |
| Independiente Petrolero clean sheet | 13.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420628069 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Universitario de Vinto are favourites. They win 58.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.1% for the draw and 20.4% for Independiente Petrolero. Including the draw, Universitario de Vinto avoid defeat 79.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Universitario de Vinto win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations. Universitario de Vinto keep a clean sheet 33.2% of the time and Independiente Petrolero 13.5%.
The simulations average 3.15 goals: 2.03 for Universitario de Vinto and 1.11 for Independiente Petrolero. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.6% and over 3.5 goals 38.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.