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We simulated Universitario vs Sport Boys 100,000 times. Universitario won 76,186 of them (76.2%), the draw came up 15.8% of the time and Sport Boys won 8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.7%), and both teams score in 46% of simulations.
| Universitario win | 76.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.8% |
| Sport Boys win | 8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.51 – 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% |
| Universitario score first | 75.9% |
| Sport Boys score first | 19.4% |
| Universitario clean sheet | 50.2% |
| Sport Boys clean sheet | 8.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420580131 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Universitario are favourites. They win 76.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.8% for the draw and 8% for Sport Boys. Including the draw, Universitario avoid defeat 92% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46% of simulations. Universitario keep a clean sheet 50.2% of the time and Sport Boys 8.5%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 2.51 for Universitario and 0.69 for Sport Boys. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.8% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.