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Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction

We simulated Universitario vs UCV Moquegua 100,000 times. Universitario won 81,848 of them (81.9%), the draw came up 12.3% of the time and UCV Moquegua won 5.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.2%), and both teams score in 38.8% of simulations.

Universitario badge
Universitario Estadio Monumental
2–2 Full time
UCV Moquegua badge
UCV Moquegua Away
81.9% 81,848 wins
12.3% Draw
5.8% 5,820 wins
Expected goals
2.66 – 0.55
Likeliest score
2-0 14.2%
Both score
38.8%
Over 2.5
61.7%

Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 12.3% and gave this exact score 2.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Carlos Sebastián Lozano Bedoya Estadio Monumental, Lima
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua live score, stats & lineups

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Monday 9 November, 01:30

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua simulation probabilities
Universitario win81.9%
Draw12.3%
UCV Moquegua win5.8%
Most likely score2-0 (14.2%)
Expected goals2.66 – 0.55
Both teams to score38.8%
Over 1.5 goals82.3%
Over 2.5 goals61.7%
Over 3.5 goals39.8%
Universitario score first76.6%
UCV Moquegua score first19.3%
Universitario clean sheet57.9%
UCV Moquegua clean sheet7.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420580140
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction FAQs

Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Universitario are favourites. They win 81.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.3% for the draw and 5.8% for UCV Moquegua. Including the draw, Universitario avoid defeat 94.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

2-0, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (12.4%) and 1-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Both teams score in 38.8% of simulations. Universitario keep a clean sheet 57.9% of the time and UCV Moquegua 7.4%.

How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

The simulations average 3.21 goals: 2.66 for Universitario and 0.55 for UCV Moquegua. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.7% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.