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  1. Simulations
  2. Valur vs KA Akureyri
Besta deild · 100,000 simulations

Valur vs KA Akureyri prediction

We simulated Valur vs KA Akureyri 100,000 times. Valur won 43,299 of them (43.3%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and KA Akureyri won 35.5%. No single score is common: 2-2 is the likeliest at 7%, while the likeliest Valur win is 2-1 (6.9%). Both teams score in 78.5% of simulations.

Valur badge
Valur Origovöllurinn
4–1 Full time
KA Akureyri badge
KA Akureyri Away
43.3% 43,299 wins
21.2% Draw
35.5% 35,490 wins
Expected goals
2.28 – 2.07
Likeliest score
2-2 7% Top Valur win: 2-1 6.9%
Both score
78.5%
Over 2.5
80.4%

Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Valur winning 43.3% and gave this exact score 3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Elías Ingi Árnason Origovöllurinn, Iceland
Valur vs KA Akureyri live score, stats & lineups

Valur vs KA Akureyri in numbers 100,000 simulations · Besta deild · Saturday 17 October, 14:00

Valur vs KA Akureyri simulation probabilities
Valur win43.3%
Draw21.2%
KA Akureyri win35.5%
Most likely score2-2 (7%)
Expected goals2.28 – 2.07
Both teams to score78.5%
Over 1.5 goals93.6%
Over 2.5 goals80.4%
Over 3.5 goals62.8%
Valur score first51.5%
KA Akureyri score first46.2%
Valur clean sheet13.1%
KA Akureyri clean sheet10.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420711676
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Valur vs KA Akureyri prediction FAQs

Who will win Valur vs KA Akureyri?

Valur are favourites. They win 43.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 35.5% for KA Akureyri. Including the draw, Valur avoid defeat 64.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Valur vs KA Akureyri?

2-2, which came up in 7% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Valur win is 2-1 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Valur vs KA Akureyri?

Both teams score in 78.5% of simulations. Valur keep a clean sheet 13.1% of the time and KA Akureyri 10.7%.

How many goals will there be in Valur vs KA Akureyri?

The simulations average 4.35 goals: 2.28 for Valur and 2.07 for KA Akureyri. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 80.4% and over 3.5 goals 62.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.