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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego 100,000 times. Vancouver Whitecaps won 63,243 of them (63.2%), the draw came up 19.5% of the time and San Diego won 17.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and both teams score in 65.7% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Vancouver Whitecaps winning 63.2% and gave this exact score 4.7%.
| Vancouver Whitecaps win | 63.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.5% |
| San Diego win | 17.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.48 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 65.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.2% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps score first | 65.3% |
| San Diego score first | 31.6% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet | 28.8% |
| San Diego clean sheet | 8.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510030 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites. They win 63.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.5% for the draw and 17.3% for San Diego. Including the draw, Vancouver Whitecaps avoid defeat 82.7% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.1%) and 3-1 (7.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.7% of simulations. Vancouver Whitecaps keep a clean sheet 28.8% of the time and San Diego 8.7%.
The simulations average 3.74 goals: 2.48 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.26 for San Diego. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.7% and over 3.5 goals 51.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.