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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Vaprus vs Paide 100,000 times. Paide won 49,246 of them (49.3%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Vaprus won 27.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Paide win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 61.7% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Paide winning 49.3% and gave this exact score 7.5%.
| Vaprus win | 27.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Paide win | 49.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.33 – 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.3% |
| Vaprus score first | 42% |
| Paide score first | 53.6% |
| Vaprus clean sheet | 16.2% |
| Paide clean sheet | 26.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420521651 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paide are favourites. They win 49.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 27.5% for Vaprus. Including the draw, Paide avoid defeat 72.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Paide win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.7% of simulations. Vaprus keep a clean sheet 16.2% of the time and Paide 26.8%.
The simulations average 3.18 goals: 1.33 for Vaprus and 1.85 for Paide. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.3% and over 3.5 goals 39.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.