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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Värnamo vs Norrköping 100,000 times. Norrköping won 56,636 of them (56.6%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Värnamo won 22.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.4%), and both teams score in 63% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Värnamo win | 22.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Norrköping win | 56.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 2.13 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.2% |
| Värnamo score first | 36.4% |
| Norrköping score first | 59.9% |
| Värnamo clean sheet | 12.3% |
| Norrköping clean sheet | 28.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420542510 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Norrköping are favourites. They win 56.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 22.7% for Värnamo. Including the draw, Norrköping avoid defeat 77.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Värnamo keep a clean sheet 12.3% of the time and Norrköping 28.2%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 1.28 for Värnamo and 2.13 for Norrköping. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.8% and over 3.5 goals 44.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.