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We simulated Vasas vs Ferencvárosi 100,000 times. Ferencvárosi won 54,176 of them (54.2%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Vasas won 23%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Ferencvárosi win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations.
| Vasas win | 23% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Ferencvárosi win | 54.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | 62.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.7% |
| Vasas score first | 36.8% |
| Ferencvárosi score first | 58.8% |
| Vasas clean sheet | 13.6% |
| Ferencvárosi clean sheet | 28.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586727 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ferencvárosi are favourites. They win 54.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 23% for Vasas. Including the draw, Ferencvárosi avoid defeat 77% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Ferencvárosi win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations. Vasas keep a clean sheet 13.6% of the time and Ferencvárosi 28.6%.
The simulations average 3.29 goals: 1.26 for Vasas and 2.03 for Ferencvárosi. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.