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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. 100,000 times. Vélez Sársfield Res. won 60,729 of them (60.7%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Argentinos Juniors Res. won 15%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.9%), and both teams score in 41.6% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24.3% and gave this exact score 11%.
| Vélez Sársfield Res. win | 60.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Argentinos Juniors Res. win | 15% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 41.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.6% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. score first | 63.2% |
| Argentinos Juniors Res. score first | 26.9% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. clean sheet | 49.4% |
| Argentinos Juniors Res. clean sheet | 18.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687731 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vélez Sársfield Res. are favourites. They win 60.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 15% for Argentinos Juniors Res.. Including the draw, Vélez Sársfield Res. avoid defeat 85% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.9%) and 1-1 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.6% of simulations. Vélez Sársfield Res. keep a clean sheet 49.4% of the time and Argentinos Juniors Res. 18.6%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 1.71 for Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.71 for Argentinos Juniors Res.. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.4% and over 3.5 goals 22.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.