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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro Carril Reserves 100,000 times. Vélez Sársfield Res. won 75,103 of them (75.1%), the draw came up 16.8% of the time and Ferro Carril Reserves won 8.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.8%), and both teams score in 38.9% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Vélez Sársfield Res. winning 75.1% and gave this exact score 6.3%.
| Vélez Sársfield Res. win | 75.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.8% |
| Ferro Carril Reserves win | 8.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.25 – 0.58 |
| Both teams to score | 38.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.4% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. score first | 75.7% |
| Ferro Carril Reserves score first | 18% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. clean sheet | 56.3% |
| Ferro Carril Reserves clean sheet | 11% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687646 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vélez Sársfield Res. are favourites. They win 75.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.8% for the draw and 8.1% for Ferro Carril Reserves. Including the draw, Vélez Sársfield Res. avoid defeat 91.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.4%) and 3-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.9% of simulations. Vélez Sársfield Res. keep a clean sheet 56.3% of the time and Ferro Carril Reserves 11%.
The simulations average 2.82 goals: 2.25 for Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.58 for Ferro Carril Reserves. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.3% and over 3.5 goals 31.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.