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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated VfL Wolfsburg vs Osnabrück 100,000 times. VfL Wolfsburg won 60,281 of them (60.3%), the draw came up 20.5% of the time and Osnabrück won 19.2%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 64.8% of simulations.
| VfL Wolfsburg win | 60.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.5% |
| Osnabrück win | 19.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 64.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.2% |
| VfL Wolfsburg score first | 66% |
| Osnabrück score first | 30.5% |
| VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet | 28.6% |
| Osnabrück clean sheet | 10.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609884 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VfL Wolfsburg are favourites. They win 60.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.5% for the draw and 19.2% for Osnabrück. Including the draw, VfL Wolfsburg avoid defeat 80.8% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations. VfL Wolfsburg keep a clean sheet 28.6% of the time and Osnabrück 10.1%.
The simulations average 3.60 goals: 2.33 for VfL Wolfsburg and 1.26 for Osnabrück. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.2% and over 3.5 goals 48.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.