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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Viking vs Fredrikstad 100,000 times. Viking won 67,360 of them (67.4%), the draw came up 17.7% of the time and Fredrikstad won 15%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.4%), and both teams score in 58.7% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Viking winning 67.4% and gave this exact score 3.9%.
| Viking win | 67.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.7% |
| Fredrikstad win | 15% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.42 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.6% |
| Viking score first | 70% |
| Fredrikstad score first | 26.8% |
| Viking clean sheet | 35.3% |
| Fredrikstad clean sheet | 9.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527804 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Viking are favourites. They win 67.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.7% for the draw and 15% for Fredrikstad. Including the draw, Viking avoid defeat 85% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations. Viking keep a clean sheet 35.3% of the time and Fredrikstad 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 2.42 for Viking and 1.05 for Fredrikstad. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67% and over 3.5 goals 45.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.